As Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner observed in their 2015 bestseller:
Often forecasts are made and then … nothing. Accuracy is seldom determined after the fact and is almost never done with sufficient regularity and rigor that conclusions can be drawn.
Building on our study with the Resolution Foundation, we’re addressing this challenge head-on. Aggregating and evaluating diverse forecasts, some highly influential, we’re building a truly unique evidence base for futures thinking of every kind.
Click here for our preliminary study of Unilever’s vision of the future world.